Forward Guidance: The Fed Is Cornered By Stagflation After Jobs Collapse | Weekly Roundup


Description

This week, we discuss all the growing list of weaker labor market data after August NFP showed just 22K jobs added. We also debate whether the Fed will have room to cut 50bps in September while stagflation rears its head, the potential implications if tariffs are overturned, and whether it’s time to be concerned about liquidity and Fed plumbing. Ultimately, everything leads us to one asset. Enjoy!

Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london
__
Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LyoebYlP0p27AqN4mQKVMH6PuYFi9T73/view?usp=sharing

This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.

Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):
http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix

Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):
vaneck.com/SMHXFelix

Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
02:07 Tyler Back to School
02:48 DAS London
04:24 Big Labor Market Week
09:29 NFP Downside Surprise
11:11 VanEck Ad
11:57 NFP Downside Surprise
14:04 September Cut Odds
17:28 Bulled Up on Gold
22:59 VanEck Ad
24:21 Will Tariffs Get Overruled?
28:35 Fed Plumbing Concerns
36:39 Read on the Dollar
39:25 Macro Recap
41:34 Final Thoughts


Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

View Original Source
← Back to All Articles