Description
This week, we dig into the government shutdown, weakening labor markets, AI’s role in productivity, Michael Howell’s demographic analysis, and how fiscal and market structure dynamics set the stage for a potential risk-asset melt-up. Enjoy!
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Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1qHbnslxFOFZXswRiw0yv1JCyplgm8haE/view?usp=sharing
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This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.
Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):
http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
03:09 DAS London!
04:06 Government Shutdown
06:42 Labor Weakness Continues
13:45 VanEck Ad
14:31 Demographic Decay
17:18 Are You Ready for Negative Real Yields?
19:20 The Macro Stars Are Aligning
24:40 Is it a Bubble or Not?
29:53 VanEck Ad
30:33 Is it a Bubble or Not?
31:40 Gaming Out Trump Admin Policy
38:06 Is there a Bear Case?
41:27 Strong USD, Strong Economy
43:52 Does the Bull Market Have Legs?
51:14 Best Bear Case
53:16 Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance