Description
In this episode, George Robertson returns to break down why he’s turned bearish. He explains why he thinks massive fiscal tightening from tariffs and job cuts, corporate profits rolling over, and the flow-of-funds are signaling recession even as markets sit at all-time highs. He walks through employment indicators, withholding data, and the widening gap between S&P levels and actual earnings, arguing the downturn has already begun. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
02:39 George’s Market Outlook
05:38 Where the Money’s Moving?
06:57 Trump’s Economic Ripple Effects
08:56 How the Fed Shapes the Cycle
15:12 VanEck Ad
15:56 COVID Spending & Fiscal Fallout
23:20 Are We in a Recession?
32:09 VanEck Ad
32:50 Jobs Data & FICA Withholding
38:29 Taxes, Tariffs & Shorting the Market
44:15 Supreme Court and Constitutional Risk
48:59 When Does the Music Stop?
54:50 Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance