Video Description
Is this really Bitcoin’s mildest bear market ever?
In this episode, Adam Livingston breaks down the data behind the 2025–2026 drawdown and why this cycle looks structurally different from 2015, 2018, and 2022. From drawdown compression (−87% → −84% → −77% → ~−53%) to realized volatility decay (~76% → ~47%) and a 93% collapse in 10% daily tail-risk events, the statistical regime has shifted.
We examine volatility compression, RSI behavior, the 200DMA, Fear & Greed at extreme lows, and how institutional participation and deeper liquidity are reshaping Bitcoin’s bear markets. If you want a calm, high-signal framework for understanding Bitcoin market structure, distribution tightening, and what “institutional-grade” downside looks like, this breakdown is essential.
Timestamps
00:00 Why...
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