Forward Guidance: The Macro Chain Reaction of Oil Shocks | Bob Elliott


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Source: Youtube Blockworks

Type: Video

Published: March 18, 2026 at 07:00 AM (about 3 hours ago)

Video Description

In this episode, we explore how a sudden oil shock and geopolitical conflict can quickly rewrite the global macro outlook, forcing markets and policymakers into a difficult balancing act between inflation and growth.

We sit down with Bob Elliott of Unlimited Funds to unpack how the Iran-driven oil shock fits into today’s fragile, savings-driven economy.

We discuss oil shocks past and present, policy sequencing, bond market reactions, global currency impacts, and why markets may be underestimating the second-order effects of rising energy prices. Enjoy!

TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Intro
02:30 Oil Shock Challenges & Today vs 2022
10:13 Contrasting the 2008 & 1970s Oil Shocks
15:15 The Energy Shock Impact on Households
19:16 How Will Central Banks & Bonds React?
29:50 Ads (Arkham)
30:38 Oil...

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