Video Description
In this week’s video, following the expected Fed rate cut, all four major U.S. equity benchmarks hit fresh highs together on Thursday for only the 26th time this century. Bond volatility is falling and credit spreads are at all-time lows, and futures imply multiple Fed cuts ahead. I dismiss “policy mistake” chatter, noting headline inflation ~3% and asserting cuts are warranted given a K-shaped economy and a weak labor market. More importantly, calling for mistakes is about being "right" and not about making money. Retail sales and older-age consumption remain firm, global breadth is strong, and earnings-call indicators of “uncertainty” and inflation mentions are falling. Despite all of this positive news, institutional sentiment remains oddly bearish (AAII, U Michigan), which serves...
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