Video Description
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, marks the end of the bear market at the $58,000 liquidation candle and walks the chain of policy decisions that took Bitcoin from $63,000 to $82,000 in six trading days.
The Fed under Warsh held rates while the two-year note traded 50 to 60 basis points above effective Fed funds, and kept buying Treasury bills through the Reserve Management Purchases program. Japan's finance minister told Japan Inc to repatriate roughly $2 trillion of foreign assets, and the US Treasury answered with the FEMA repo facility so Japan could raise dollars without selling Treasuries. Then the quarterly buyback was upsized. Hayes reads all three as the same signal: yield curve control is coming, and that is why scarce assets caught a bid.
The final leg was mechanical....
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